Buythe dips schreef op 9 juni 2020 14:32:
J.P. Morgan believes Brent crude could hit $190/barrel by 2025.
We believe this figure to be incredibly optimistic but still strongly subscribe to the underlying premise: chronic underinvestment in upstream projects since 2014 will lead to a significant price shock.
Capex for 2020 has been reduced by over $120 billion in response to the latest price collapse, far exceeding cuts from other recent downturns.
We further note that the capital leaving the industry today may never return as large institutional investors and banks increasingly impose limits on fossil fuel lending.
We are therefore very bullish medium-term crude prices and have positioned our portfolio to reflect this by opening long positions on EOG Resources, Pioneer Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, ConocoPhillips and Cenovus Energy.
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