Estimates Overview >> Consensus
Last Update: 2022-01-27
Shell plc Analysts' Consensus Estimates
Financial Figures in Million US-Dollar (except where indicated differently)
[in Mill. US Dollar] Q4 2020 FY 2020 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 E FY 2021 E FY 2022 E FY 2023 E FY 2024 E
EARNINGS BY SEGMENT (EXCLUDING IDENTIFIED ITEMS)
INTEGRATED GAS
Number of analysts participating 20 9 9 9 7
Highest 3,992 7,834 12,619 12,969 11,086
Consensus 1,109 4,383 1,680 2,823 7,357 10,519 9,430 9,164
Lowest 2,062 6,766 8,968 7,113 8,016
UPSTREAM
Number of analysts participating 20 9 9 9 7
Highest 3,507 8,624 15,782 10,228 7,846
Consensus -748 -2,852 1,686 2,565 7,733 9,255 6,241 4,623
Lowest 1,708 7,272 6,325 3,190 2,779
OIL PRODUCTS (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 21 9 9 9 7
Highest 1,204 4,510 6,610 6,956 7,270
Consensus 540 5,995 1,212 818 4,230 5,491 5,613 5,783
Lowest 477 3,865 4,424 4,203 4,220
CHEMICALS (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 21 9 9 9 7
Highest 290 1,878 2,913 3,350 3,313
Consensus 381 962 395 39 1,824 1,844 2,298 2,261
Lowest -36 1,759 946 1,617 1,617
CORPORATE
Number of analysts participating 20 9 9 9 7
Highest -700 -2,508 -1,332 -722 -78
Consensus -836 -3,412 -732 -896 -2,698 -2,446 -2,337 -2,118
Lowest -997 -2,779 -2,888 -3,000 -3,000
NON-CONTROLLING INTEREST (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 20 9 9 9 7
Highest -54 -366 -459 -362 -306
Consensus -54 -230 -112 -116 -434 -531 -509 -469
Lowest -174 -486 -587 -619 -540
SHELL ADJUSTED EARNINGS
Number of analysts participating 22 9 9 9 7
Highest 6,423 18,654 29,207 29,623 24,243
Consensus 393 4,846 4,130 5,224 18,012 24,132 20,736 19,244
Lowest 4,254 17,422 19,675 16,623 15,062
INTEGRATED GAS, ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 15 8 8 7 6
Highest 6,186 15,732 21,625 19,876 19,567
Consensus 2,668 - 3,768 5,025 15,109 19,369 18,041 17,201
Lowest 4,272 14,610 17,017 16,329 15,346
UPSTREAM, ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 15 8 8 7 6
Highest 9,448 28,315 41,548 33,858 30,953
Consensus 3,826 - 6,766 8,185 26,955 31,450 24,848 22,532
Lowest 7,043 25,910 26,031 19,864 17,417
OIL PRODUCTS, ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 14 7 7 6 5
Highest 2,207 9,287 12,062 13,225 13,844
Consensus 1,287 - 2,360 1,891 8,987 10,839 11,293 11,386
Lowest 1,634 8,714 9,364 9,514 9,643
CHEMICALS, ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 14 7 7 6 5
Highest 417 3,167 4,158 5,034 5,034
Consensus 692 - 715 295 3,083 3,151 3,839 4,076
Lowest 203 3,025 2,175 2,515 2,937
CORPORATE, ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 14 7 7 6 5
Highest 0 -420 -260 1,200 1,200
Consensus -100 - -147 -202 -638 -567 -269 -158
Lowest -500 -920 -800 -800 -800
SHELL ADJUSTED EBITDA (CCS BASIS)
Number of analysts participating 15 8 8 7 6
Highest 16,638 54,760 71,636 60,122 58,002
Consensus 8,372 - 13,460 15,343 53,776 63,590 56,473 53,734
Lowest 14,047 52,932 56,606 51,242 47,098
CASHFLOW
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Number of analysts participating 17 6 6 5 3
Highest 13,140 49,023 54,664 50,762 48,670
Consensus 6,287 34,105 16,025 9,478 46,531 50,170 47,999 46,258
Lowest 562 41,623 46,577 44,077 41,622
OF WHICH DECREASE / (INCREASE) IN WORKING CAPITAL
Number of analysts participating 17 6 6 5 3
Highest 2,183 -7,474 0 2,557 0
Consensus -337 4,610 -1,447 -1,166 -8,504 -328 725 0
Lowest -4,574 -9,896 -1,735 0 0
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES EXCL. WORKING CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
Number of analysts participating 21 9 9 9 7
Highest 13,486 57,162 54,862 54,382 48,912
Consensus 6,624 29,495 17,472 10,572 54,760 46,524 44,248 41,203
Lowest 5,136 51,519 9,587 9,587 9,587
PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION BRENT
Number of analysts participating 22 8 8 8 7
Highest 81.0 71.1 81.3 85.0 70.0
Consensus 44.2 41.8 73.5 79.6 70.7 73.0 67.3 62.9
Lowest 78.2 70.5 68.3 60.0 60.0
OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION WTI
Number of analysts participating 20 7 7 7 6
Highest 79.0 68.1 72.5 67.0 67.0
Consensus 42.6 39.2 70.5 77.0 67.7 68.6 61.0 57.8
Lowest 75.3 66.5 65.3 56.0 55.5
HENRY HUB PRICE ASSUMPTION
Number of analysts participating 21 8 8 8 7
Highest 5.84 4.02 4.12 3.50 3.50
Consensus 2.47 2.00 4.29 4.92 3.64 3.68 3.04 2.96
Lowest 4.71 2.72 3.13 2.50 2.50