NewEnergy schreef op 22 januari 2019 16:05:
Slimmed-down TomTom is now an alluring M&A target
LONDON, Jan 22 (Reuters Breakingviews) - M&A bankers ought to be drawing a circle around Amsterdam on their maps of Europe. Dutch navigation group TomTom TOM2.AS on Tuesday announced a sale of its truck-data unit for half the 1.8 billion euro parent’s market value. The main effect is to highlight how cheap the rest of the business looks.
The debt-free telematics division, which sells data services to fleet owners, is going to tyremaker Bridgestone 5108.T for 910 million euros in cash. The Japanese buyer can use the business to juice more income from commercial-vehicles customers, on the basis that the software might nudge them to replace tyres in a more timely fashion. That logic helps justify Bridgestone’s purchase multiple of five times sales, on UBS forecasts, which otherwise looks high for a division whose top line grew at a so-so 4 percent last year.
The main takeaway, however, is that TomTom’s other assets look a steal. Strip out the telematics business and 218 million euros of cash from the group’s market worth – using Refinitiv end-2018 estimates – and there’s just 683 million euros of value left to cover the rest. Those units will generate revenue of 646 million euros this year, UBS analysts reckon, implying a measly 1.1 times sales multiple.
Such a low valuation is perhaps warranted for the shrinking consumer business, which has struggled with falling satnav sales. But almost two-thirds of TomTom’s remaining revenue will come from automotive and licensing, which licenses maps, traffic-navigation and other software to carmakers and tech groups. Demand should surge with the advent of self-driving cars; and peers have on average been sold for about 4.4 times sales in recent years, according to a UBS analysis. That would imply the auto and licensing units alone are worth 1.8 billion euros.
If TomTom’s current low price persists, partners and clients like Apple AAPL.O, Microsoft MSFT.O or Uber UBER.UL may sense a chance to pick up some valuable maps on the cheap. The Dutch group’s defence would be relatively weak: Chief Executive Harold Goddijn will have a near-400 million post-sale cash pile, Breakingviews estimates. That’s nothing next to the resources that could be marshalled by map-software rivals Google GOOGL.O and HERE – a consortium backed by major auto groups like BMW BMWG.DE and Daimler DAIGn.DE. Goddijn’s slimmed-down company will make an alluring takeover target.