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Update on weekly raw steel production in US - Up 2% WoW

In the week ending May 24, 2014, domestic raw steel production was 1,875,000 net tonnes while the capability utilization rate was 78.0%. Production was 1,833,000 net tonnes in the week ending May 24th 2013, while the capability utilization then was 76.5%.

The current week production represents a 2.3% increase from the same period in the previous year. Production for the week ending May 24th 2014 is up 2.0% from the previous week ending May 17th 2014 when production was 1,838,000 net tonnes and the rate of capability utilization was 76.4%.

Adjusted year to date production through May 24th 2014 was 37,645 net tonnes, at a capability utilization rate of 76.2%. That is a 0.6% decrease from the 37,858 net tonnes during the same period last year, when the capability utilization rate was 76.8%.

Broken down by districts, here's production for the week ending May 24th 2014 in thousands of net tonnes: North East: 230; Great Lakes: 675; Midwest: 249; Southern: 642 and Western: 79 for a total of 1,875.

Source – Strategic Research Institute
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China seeks partnership with Vale to transport iron ore

China is interested in setting up a partnership with Brazilian mining major Vale to move iron ore from its giant vessels on to smaller ones, as a ban on the big ships docking at Chinese ports continues.

Vale's mega ships, capable of carrying 400,000 tonne of iron ore and known as the Valemax, are not permitted to dock at Chinese ports because of their size. This has frustrated the miner's attempts to reduce freight costs in order to compete with Australian based rivals such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, located closer to China.

Chinese shipowners have strongly opposed access for Vale's mega ships amid concerns that they could worsen a shipping glut and steal market share. Mr Li Jinzhang, Chinese ambassador to Brazil, said foreign reporters at a conference that "Our transport department has every interest in discussing and resolving this matter, including options such as setting up a partnership to tranship the iron ore and thus work together to lower freight costs."

Transhipment involves moving the iron ore from the Valemax ships on to smaller boats which could then dock at Chinese ports. Vale is currently developing a transhipment centre in Malaysia and already has a system in operation in the Philippines. Vale's transportation costs are currently about USD 22 a tonne.

Source – Business Times
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Development of steel use for construction sector - SEASSI

The construction sector is under more pressure due to resources limitation such as land, energy, water, materials and environmental pollution.

According to the UN’s 2009 forecasts, population in the world will reach 9.1 billion people by 2050 (>33% increase from 2009), with 70% of the people living in urban areas that year. About 82% of the people lived in less developed regions in 2009 and there will be more than doubled the number of people (1.7 billion people) living in the ‘least developed countries’ by 2050. As such, the UN predicted that there will be a need for 170,000 houses to be built per day for the next 40 years. The construction sector is the largest steel consuming sector in many regions.

According to World Steel Association, value of the worldwide construction market is estimated at USD 5.4 trillion. Residential construction market is valued USD 1.8 trillion, one –third of the total market. Meanwhile, ASEAN uses up to 60% of steel for the construction sector.

Steel frame housing has been promoted recently in the world market. There is wide perception that the cost of construction when using steel frame for housing is relatively high in many countries when compared to the traditional way of construction by using brick and concrete. Many companies have started to promote steel frame housing by providing solution services to customers. According to the Steel Construction Institute, by using composite beams for building, steel weight could be reduced by 30% to 50% and they can also improve vibration and fire resistance for buildings.

The construction can be done faster with 20% to 30% reduction in construction time compared to site intensive construction. Site management costs would also reduce by 20% to 30% which leads to 3% to 4% saving in overall building cost. Moreover, using steel frame building allows more flexible use of space and foundation of the building.

China, which is having an over capacity problem, also promotes value added into steel in order to drive more consumption for steel. By having steel structure industry, there will be not only lower cost of production, less time consuming in construction industry but there will also be less wastage of steel used in the sector, which means there will be less iron ore consumption within the country.

Source – Strategic Research Institute
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Hancock signs over Rhodes Ridge iron ore

The marathon battle for control of the giant Rhodes Ridge iron ore deposit in the Pilbara is finally over with Ms Gina Rinehart's Hancock Prospecting believed to have signed over its 25% interest to the heirs of her father's business partner.

Wright Prospecting, the family company of Mr Peter Wright, launched its claim over the 5.3 billion tonne iron ore project in 1997 and the battle between the two companies has been before the courts since at least 2001.

The long running struggle for one of the Pilbara's richest undeveloped iron ore deposits effectively ended last September when the High Court refused to hear an appeal by Mrs Rinehart over successive decisions of WA's Supreme Court. The High Court stance effectively closed off her last hope of retaining her quarter-stake interest in the project.

But Wright Prospecting had to wait another eight months for enforcement of orders initially issued by the Supreme Court in 2011, after a dispute about the order in which Wright should seek consents for the transfer.

Neither Wright Prospecting nor Hancock responded to requests for comment. But it is understood Mrs Rinehart's company signed off on the deed of assignment for its share of Rhodes Ridge yesterday, clearing the way for other approvals and for the WA Government to start the process of making the required changes to the State Agreement covering the project.

Rio Tinto, which owns 50% of Rhodes Ridge, is yet to flag it as a development option and industry sources suggest the first option for Rio and Wright could be the Shovelanna deposit.

Shovelanna is a part of the broader Rhodes Ridge project but is closer to BHP Billiton's Jimblebar operations than any of Rio's infrastructure. Sources suggest Shovelanna would be better held by BHP as a feeder for a Jimblebar expansion, though a near-term deal was unlikely.

Mrs Rinehart may have relinquished her hold on Rhodes Ridge. However, Hancock is powering ahead with its AUD 10 billion Roy Hill development.

Source – The West Australian

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Tale of two iron ore curves in Singapore and Dalian

South China Morning Post reported that iron ore swaps traded in Singapore are suggesting that the worst may be over for the steelmaking ingredient but futures in Dalian point to further price weakness.

Both can't be correct, but the divergence does raise the question as to which group of investors has a more accurate gauge on the current balance of risks.

The Singapore Exchange's iron ore swaps tend to be favoured by miners and traders, while the Dalian Commodity Exchange's futures are mainly used by mainland steel mills and domestic investors.

The SGX iron ore swaps curve tends to move into backwardation before a price decline, reversing the process ahead of a rally by moving into contango. The shape of the current SGX curve is extremely mild backwardation from the second month onwards, with the second-month contract priced at USD 97.25 tonne early on Monday, the six month at USD 96.58 and the 12 month at USD 97. So, the current shape of the SGX curve does not yet imply an imminent rally as it is still backwardated, even if slightly, but it also does not imply further price declines given the backwardation has almost disappeared.

The DCE iron ore contract, launched in October, has a shorter history but it has quickly attracted volumes and the second-month future's open interest was 2,108 lots as of Friday. It has tended to trade in backwardation but it is not surprising given that spot iron ore has been declining since early December. Currently, the DCE curve is steeply backwardated at the front end, easing slightly further out. The backwardation at the front end of the curve is the steepest in the short history of the product, showing that DCE investors are probably more bearish on iron ore now than at any time in the past six months. The second month contract was at CNY 769 per tonne on Friday, a premium of 8.7% to the six month.

Source - South China Morning Post
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Rio Tinto to build relations as iron ore market gets competitive

China Daily reported that Rio Tinto wants to build relations with China as iron ore market gets competitive as it faces an ever more competitive iron ore market.

China drives over a third of company revenue.

Mr Sam Walsh CEO of Rio Tinto said that "As China continues its urbanization and industrialization process, the steel demand will keep growing. We are confident that our products will be needed in the future."

He said that his strategy remains unchanged: continuous commitment to the market, cutting costs and supplying high-quality products.

In 2013, Rio Tinto produced 266 million tons of iron ore, an annual increase of 5%.

Source – China Daily

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TATA Steel and Thai aims to pay first dividend since 2008

Thai media reported that TATA Steel Thailand has set a challenging target of resuming paying a dividend next year, having not done so due to big losses since 2008.

Mr Rajiv Mangal president and CEO of TATA told reporters that after successfully returning to profitable operations in the company's previous fiscal year ended March 31st the listed steelmaker was striving to increase profits further to a level at which it could resume paying dividends to shareholders in 2015.

TATA would have to spend a total of THB 80 million in order to pay a minimum dividend of one satang per share to its shareholders.

Due to the company's policy to cap its pay-out ratio at no more than 40% of its after tax profit, this means TATA would have to achieve earnings after tax of at least THB 200 million in order to resume paying a minimum dividend.

Source - www.nationmultimedia.com
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Africa remains critical market for steel industry - Evraz

Ventures Africa reported that Johannesburg listed steel maker, Evraz Highveld Steel infrastructure projects in Nigeria, Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia and Mozambique remained a critical growing market for the steel industry.

But the cutthroat competition from global steel makers in sub Saharan Africa had kept pricing in these markets under pressure and in keeping with international tendencies.

In addition, the sluggish speed with which large infrastructure projects have been carried out in South Africa, an explosive labour market, energy tariff hikes and power supply worries continued to create problems for domestic steel industry.

Evraz made these comments as it posted ZAR 105 million net loss in the Q1 of this year. This happened at a time the global economy remained weak in the Q1 of this year. The global economy has also not reached the growth levels needed to prompt adequate demand for steel.

Source – Ventures Africa.com
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South Africa's iron ore exports down in March

South Africa exported 4.48 million tons of iron ore in March down by 3.2% than the same month of last year.

During the period ended March 31, the country’s iron ore exports hit 15.49 million tonnes up by 0.9% compared to the same period of prior year.

Among them, exports to China totaled 10.76 million tonnes up by 8.9% compared to the same period of last year. China has been the South Africa’s largest export market over the past two years.

Besides, Japan occupied 1.65 million tonnes up by 28.4% YoY. South Africa exported some 700,000 tonnes of iron ore to the Netherlands down by 11.1% than the same time of last year.

Source - www.yieh.com
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ING and Deutsche Bank launch USD 700 million syndicated loan for Evraz

ING and Deutsche Bank have launched syndication of USD 700 million, five year loan for Russian steel company Evraz, which is the first loan to launch since economic sanctions were imposed on Russia.

Bankers said that the syndicated loan market has been effectively closed since sanctions were imposed in April and banks have been reducing their exposure by selling Russian loans in the secondary loan market.

Some lenders said that this process will be difficult to reverse and the Russian loan market could be closed for up to a year. Invitations for the pre export deal were sent to about seven banks this week.

Bankers close to the deal are hoping that more positive sentiment toward Russia since the election of new Ukrainian President Mr Petro Poroshenko last weekend will calm lenders' fears about Russian risk.

A London based banker said that after the elections I think banks will be more relaxed around Russian exposure, the political situation seems more stable. Although Evraz is regarded as a more international company with assets and manufacturing facilities globally and a number of offshore accounts, the outcome of the loan remains uncertain.

Bankers said that none of the invited banks have got approval from their credit committees to join the deal yet. Lenders will want time to assess the situation, many have made the radical decision to step away from Russia and that decision is not going to be reversed easily. I cannot see any deals getting done soon.

Source – The Moscow Times.com
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Nippon Steel puts iron ore and coal fund's investment radar

Reuters reported that Japan's Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Company consider investing in iron ore or coking coal mines from its nearly USD 1 billion war chest for overseas investments but won't bid for the US plants of Russia's Severstal.

Mr Katsuhiko Ota executive VP of Nippon Steel & Sumitomo said that “The world's second biggest steelmaker by crude steel output will be eyeing the mining investments while prices of the commodities are low although it is not negotiating any deals in the segment currently. We'll seriously consider investing if there is a good deal. There is no specific deal on the table now, but we'll use some of the JPY 100 billion fund if any good target arises."

Nippon Steel currently gets about a quarter of its required iron ore and 20% of coking coal from mines in which it has invested. Benchmark iron ore prices are down more than 40% since mid 2011, while coking coal prices have plunged by two-thirds over the same period.

Nippon Steel has set aside JPY 100 billion for expansion, mostly overseas, in the year through March 2015. Buoyed by strong profit growth as a result of the massive government stimulus from Abenomics, the namesake policies of Prime Minister Mr Shinzo Abe, Japanese steelmakers have the muscle to expand overseas while rivals like South Korea's POSCO are restructuring amid a global steel glut.

Mr Ota said that “Nippon Steel will continue expanding in markets including the United States where it completed the purchase of a ThyssenKrupp AD plant with ArcelorMittal in February Indonesia, India and China. It has been in talks with Indonesia's largest steelmaker PT Krakatau Steel since late 2012 to set up a joint venture to produce automotive flat steel in Indonesia.”

He said that "The negotiations have advanced, but no final decision has been made. We are continuing our feasibility studies adding that fresh investments in India and China may be made through existing ventures. The fund will be used to build new plants or for mergers and acquisitions but added there were no plans to bid for Severstal's US operations.”

Source – Reuters
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POSCO spurs global presence in car steel sheet business

POSCO, the nation’s top steelmaker, is spurring global expansion in its automotive steel sheet business, having set the goal of becoming the world best steelmaker in this segment.

POSCO is currently one of the top three steelmakers along with ArcelorMittal and Nippon Steel in annual production capacity of car steel products.

Mr Kwon Oh joon chairman of POSCO said that “Steel products used for cars is one of the seven strategic product categories for the group’s future growth. A car frame, made using POSCO’s automotive steel sheets, which are lighter but stronger than other steel products, is displayed at the firm’s R&D center, located in the firm’s Gwangyang Steelworks. The reason why POSCO has made car steel products a priority is the positive growth outlook for the global car market.”

For the sake of continued investments in R&D for high quality car steel products and for overseas expansion, POSCO has built an extensive global network of partners. Now, the steelmaker supplies high value added car steel sheets not only to local carmakers like Hyundai Automotive Group but also to carmakers in the global top 15, including BMW, Toyota and General Motors.

POSCO is forecast to further invest in building additional continuous galvanizing lines, or CGLs, overseas, as top management has raised the firm’s annual production target of galvanized steel products to 10 million tonnes.

Industry watchers said that POSCO will further increase the number of overseas CGL lines to implement its capacity expansion plan. Regarding current CGL production lines overseas, POSCO runs a CGL in Guangdong, China; India and Mexico. Early this year, the steelmaker opened its second automotive steel plant in Mexico.

Source - koreaherald.com
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South Korea consumes more steel per capita than both China and Japan

Steel is the building block of the urban world, making everything from cars to high rises. It’s also really dirty: Steel production contributes about 7% of global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, largely because seven-tenths of its manufacture is fueled by burning huge piles of coal.

A new World Steel Association said that And even as global industrial production around the world ebbed in 2013, the planet’s steel makers churned out 1.6 billion tonnes of crude steel last year). That’s an increase of more than 3% compared with 2012, a fairly big jump compared with 2012's increase of just 1.4% vs. 2011.

On an infrastructure and housing bender throughout 2013, China, unsurprisingly, used around half of the world’s steel output. Runner up was the US, which used a measly 6.4%. Oddly enough, things look much, much different on a per capita basis. Consuming 1,057 kilograms (2,330 pounds) of finished steel per capita, South Korea is gobbling up steel far faster than any other country. China, by comparison, uses just half as much per capita.

What’s behind South Korea’s steel binge? For one thing, big automotive exporters, such as South Korea, Germany and Japan. tend to be big steel consumers.

?The EU and countries like the US and Japan have made strides in cleaning up their steel industries. South Korea, however, has been less ambitious. In fact, its overall carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions have jumped in the last decade (note: not just from steel production):

China’s CO2 emissions have also increased, and steel production is a big part of that. Automotive manufacture accounts for around 15% of global steel demand; roughly half comes from construction of both housing and infrastructure. China’s housing boom of 2013 and the ongoing buildout of the government’s urbanization plans explain why China consumed 700 million tonnes of steel last year, up 6% from the previous year.

Since many of China’s steel companies are owned by the state, they’re subsidized which means the steel they make is unusually cheap. Many of the firms can use their connections to dodge environmental laws. Those twisted incentives mean China produces way more steel than it can use (though China’s a net importer of steel, it’s high-end steel that it’s importing; the rest it exports). Even as the central government called for the industry to slim down, China added at least 58 new steel furnaces in 2013 adding 80 million tonnes of additional annual capacity, reports Ernst & Young.
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That will continue to eat up the margins of all the other steel makers around the planet, particularly those that are paying to clean up production. But automakers potentially benefit from cheap steel. Last year, most of South Korea’s imported steel was from Japan and the US, relatively cleaner steel producing countries. However, South Korea bought more than a third of its steel imports from China.

Source – Qz.com

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Tokyo Steel MD comments on Japanese steel marker conditions

The TEX reported that following is a summary of the May 19 comments made by Tokyo Steel Managing Director Mr Kiyoshi Imamura.

1. Domestic distribution stocks of steel products are on the decrease after they peaked. Inquiries are gradually increasing at the distribution level, too, after the Golden Week holidays, and cargo movements of steel products are improving. As a result, the adjustment phase of distribution stocks is drawing to an end.

2. Various domestic deals for steel products, large and small, are on track to shape up both in construction and civil engineering from the summer of this year onward. In this connection, there are expectations that domestic steel demand could perk up in the near future. On the other hand, there are demand deferrals for steel products due to delayed executions of new construction amid a labor shortage, which has brought a temporary slack of steel demand until now. As a result, the supply-demand balance of steel products as a whole is still under recovery.

3. Asian steel market conditions for export deals remain somewhat weak in repercussions of China's steel production at a continued high level. As a result, the current market prices are USD 550 per tonne to USD 560 per tonne FOB for HR coils and USD 680 per tonne to USD 690 per tonne FOB for H-beams.

4. Tokyo Steel is contemplating maintaining a certain cutback in its finished steel production to meet demand. The company estimates finished steel production from its four works at a total of around 190,000 tonnes in May, of which H-beams would account for 95,000 tonnes, HR coils 50,000 tonnes (with the first 28,000 tonnes from the Tahara works), and heavy plates 20,000 tonnes. The company sets its HR coil exports at a total of around 3,000 tonnes for May.

5. Japan's domestic market prices of locally available ferrous scrap are expected to change little at a weak level for a while. Behind the outlook lie several factors. In Japan, the average of winning bids for No2 HMS fell by about Y400 from a month ago in Kanto Tetsugen's export tender that took place May 13. In the USA, the composite price of No1 HMS recently slipped for the first time in two months. Besides, the prices of US ferrous scrap exports to Asia are on the downside.

Source - The TEX Report
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PSI strengthens ArcelorMittal ties with production management Master Agreement

PSI Metals has signed a Master Agreement with ArcelorMittal, defining the governance of the close collaboration with respect to production management solutions. The main aim of the contract is to standardise the terms of licence and maintenance for current and future PSImetals solutions across the ArcelorMittal group and to support the standardization process for production management solutions, in order to reduce the Total Cost of Ownership at ArcelorMittal.

The contract was signed by ArcelorMittal Purchasing SAS on behalf of all ArcelorMittal business units and affiliates worldwide.

In addition to general agreements to manage the partnership, the Master Agreement provides a licence agreement for a more flexible utilization of PSImetals solutions and a standardized support service level through the maintenance of all the running and future applications in the ArcelorMittal group. The Master Agreement with PSI Metals aims to harmonize the production management processes for the different business areas and plants and their related applications.

ArcelorMittal will get detailed PSImetals know how, to build up respective internal competence centers. In a mid term horizon this should lead to an ever-increasing PSImetals implementation in the different plants, in which ArcelorMittal can take over more and more the customization, commissioning and maintenance of the solutions in order to realise harmonization and cost reductions.

ArcelorMittal is the world's leading steel and mining company, with a presence in more than 60 countries and an industrial footprint in over 20 countries. Guided by a philosophy to produce safe, sustainable steel, it is the leading supplier of quality steel products in all major markets including automotive, construction, household appliances and packaging.

PSI Metals GmbH is the leading company in Supply Chain Management, Manufacturing Execution and Advanced Planning & Scheduling in the metals industry. PSImetals is the industry standard for planning and control throughout the entire logistics chain and has already been implemented in different ArcelorMittal business units and plants.

Source – Strategic Research Institute
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ArcelorMittal to delay C-5 blast furnace production in US

ArcelorMittal USA announced to postpone C-5 blast furnace operation in Cleveland State factories and it would try to resume production as soon as possible. However, the company is still unable to determine when the C-5 blast furnace capable of reproduction.

ArcelorMittal has two blast furnaces, including C-5 and C-6 in Cleveland State. Currently, C-6 BF is still in normal operation. The company expected the blast furnace to have a full production this week.

Source - www.yieh.com
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TATA Steel may face high iron ore costs on Odisha trouble - Moody

PTI reported that global giant TATA Steel may face higher raw material costs if its mines in Odisha remain closed for over a year following Supreme Court's interim stay on iron ore mining.

Moody's Investor said that "If TATA Steel Limited's 7 mines in the Indian state of Odisha stay closed for over a year, the company's only operational crude steel making facility in India will likely face higher raw material costs and lower EBITDA levels."

Mr Alan Greene VP and Senior Credit Officer of Moody's said that "We note that if the outcome in Odisha mirrors that in Goa and Karnataka then, even when the issues are resolved, the approved extraction rate may fall short of the previous rate of iron ore production."

He said that "Moreover, the timing of the shutdown is inconvenient for Tata Steel. Over the next 9 to 12 months it is still spending heavily on its new steelworks prior to the start of commercial operations scheduled for early 2015."

The Supreme Court earlier this month had ordered interim stay on the iron ore mining in Odisha by companies whose lease agreements had expired and were not renewed by the state government. As a result, all 26 mines in Odisha including TATA Steel's 7 captive iron ore mines -were ordered to cease production pending reviews of their leases.

Source - PTI
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Japan steelmakers weigh action to stem flood of steel imports

Japanese steelmakers, which reported foreign imports at 9 year high for April, are weighing action to stem the flow of steel from abroad, risking heightened tensions with trading partners South Korea and China.

Steel imports in the three months to March 31 rose to their highest since 1997 on a quarterly basis. The federation said imports in April exceeded 400,000 tonnes for the sixth consecutive month.

The federation, an industry body, is looking for clues as to why imports are up despite a weaker yen, which should make steel from foreign suppliers more expensive.

Mr Hiroshi Tomono chairman of the Japan Iron and Steel Federation said that “As Japan’s building boom sucks in steel from Asia, any response would depend on whether imports continue at high levels and damage is being inflicted on domestic companies.”

Mr Ryuichi Yamashita director at the iron and steel division of Japan’s trade ministry said that “Anti dumping duties are likely to appear on the radar for steelmakers if imports remain high and they sense that steel is being sold in Japan at unfairly lower prices than in exporters’ local markets.”

Mr Jiro Iokibe an analyst at Daiwa Securities Company said that “The increase in Asian imports has triggered a softening in the domestic steel market and higher inventories, contributing to a drop of about 19% in the value of Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation’s shares this year.”

Mr Tomono, who also serves as vice chairman at Nippon Steel & Sumitomo said that “Considering where overseas mills’ margins are given where currency levels are now, it’s hard to imagine that such large volumes are coming into Japan. Antidumping measures are among the options as steelmakers consult with the government.”

Source – Bloomberg
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Egypt needs anti dumping duties if energy subsidies cut - Steel firm

Reuters reported that Egypt needs to impose anti dumping duties to protect power hungry industries including steel if the government reduces energy subsidies.

Mr Ahmed Abou Hashima CEO of Egyptian Steel said that "I am pro cutting subsidies, which expects to be the country's No. 2 steelmaker by end 2015. The government has no money. We know this and we can make compromises, but at the same time Egypt must protect industry in order to attract investors."

Energy subsidies are one of the most explosive issues facing Egypt's former army chief Mr Abdel Fattah al Sisi, whose victory in this week's presidential vote will put a military man back in power in Egypt after the brief hiatus of Islamist control. Cuts to energy subsidies, which account for 13% of the state budget, are seen as necessary by leading business figures to repair government finances. But some are now saying they would need other protective measures if energy costs rise.

The IMF estimated that Egypt's energy subsidies amount to seven times what it is spending on healthcare. A clear move to cut subsidies could restore confidence among investors, who have viewed successive governments as indecisive. This investment, if it is directed towards the energy sector, could in turn stem the country's blackouts.

Egypt's trade ministry said late last year it was studying the possibility of imposing anti-dumping duties on Turkish steel imports, but there are currently no such tariffs in place. Turkey has had (energy) subsidies since 1990, and they protect their steel industry. In Egypt today there are no anti-dumping measures of any kind in steel. If Egypt removes its energy subsidies, it must protect its industry.

Source – Reuters
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China auto sales forecast to rise 10.7pct this year - UBS Securities

UBS Securities said that auto sales may continue to post double-digit growth in China this year as anticipation of vehicle purchase restrictions in more cities has unleashed panic buying.

Total auto sales are expected to rise 10.7% to more than 25 million units in 2014, higher than the 9.1% increase in the first fourth months. Deliveries of passenger cars may increase 11.8% for the year, with small cars, sports utility vehicles and luxury models outperforming the overall market.

The China Passenger Car Association said that demand caused by speculation that vehicle purchase restrictions will be extended to more than 10 cities may push sales up by 500,000 units this year.

UBS Securities added that but in general, sales may grow at a moderated pace compared with last year's 13.9% and further slow to 9.8% next year.

It said that in the passenger car segment, Japanese brands may regain some market share in the next two years given their strong pipelines. Domestic carmakers have been losing ground for eight consecutive months but are still posting a stable performance from a mid-to-long term perspective.

Source - www.shanghaidaily.com
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