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Kapitaalsverh. én Convert. bij Q-Cell

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Writedowns push Q-Cells into heavy Q2 loss

By Christoph Steitz
FRANKFURT | Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:16am EDT
(Reuters) - Plunging prices for solar cells and writedowns on its plants and inventories led German solar company Q-Cells to reveal a gigantic loss in the second quarter, sending its shares tumbling.
"We've been hit very hard by the market environment," Chief Executive Nedim Cen said in a conference call on Wednesday, pointing to weak demand in Germany, the world's No.1 solar market, and resulting low capacity utilization.

Solar companies are struggling with the fallout from lower government subsidies on which the industry depends -- solar power is up to eight times more expensive than conventional forms of energy.
Sector leader First Solar last week blamed falling prices for cells, as a result of lower incentives in key markets Germany and Italy, for its profit warning.

Q-Cells' second-quarter net loss was 355 million euros ($505 million), almost seven times the 48.3 million euro average forecast in a Reuters poll of analysts, the company said in a statement two days ahead of its official reporting date.
Q-Cells, once the world's largest maker of solar cells, also lowered its 2011 outlook, and now expects sales to drop about a quarter to roughly 1 billion euros, after previously aiming for stable sales versus 2010.

It sees an operating loss in the "hundreds of millions of euros" in 2011.
"The Q2 results and outlook are disastrous, and way below any expectations," said DZ Bank analyst Sven Kuerten. "The company is in huge operating trouble and will, in our view, be in severe financing trouble in 2012 at the latest."

Q-Cell shares plunged as much as 24 percent to a record low, and were down 16 percent at 0.78 euros at 10:51 a.m. EDT, putting them among the biggest decliners among German stocks.

Management forecast that stricter cashflow discipline, including job cuts, would leave the company with some 300-350 million euros in cash by the end of this year.

Q-Cells said it aims to post a profit before interest and tax (EBIT) for next year.
Investors will look for further clues about the state of the industry when Germany's two largest solar companies, SMA Solar and SolarWorld, report quarterly results later this week.

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Q-CELLS ANNOUNCES RESULTS FOR SECOND QUARTER 2011
Sales revenues in the second quarter increase steeply compared to the previous quarter
Operating loss due to significant one-off effects
Negative EBIT expected for full year despite market recovery in the second half of the year – positive EBIT target for 2012
Package of measures for lowering production and administration costs
Andreas von Zitzewitz - new Executive Board member responsible for Production and Technology
Bitterfeld-Wolfen, Germany, 10 August 2011 – Q-Cells SE was able to increase sales revenues significantly compared to the extremely weak first quarter, but recorded another operating loss in the second quarter due to the continuing price drop and considerable one-off effects. The Company expects a negative EBIT for the full year 2011 despite signs of a recovery in the markets. A package of measures, which includes streamlining the organisational structure and optimising costs, should help the Company return to operating profit in 2012, which is still expected to be a difficult financial year.

Q-Cells SE was able to significantly increase sales revenues in the past quarter compared to the first quarter of 2011. The Company generated sales revenues of €316.0 million in the second quarter (Q1 2011: €125.1 million), mainly on account of strong systems business. Due to the difficult market situation and further price drops in the second quarter however, Q-Cells recorded a negative EBIT. In addition, significant one-off effects had a negative impact on operating income in the second quarter of 2011. Considerable impairment charges were carried out on property, plant and equipment as well as write-downs on inventories to account for changed market conditions. In the second quarter, impairment charges on property, plant and equipment of the German production sites amounted to €139.7 million, and €73.2 million for Group inventories. One-off effects, including expenses in connection with onerous contracts of €43.6 million, came to €256.5 million in the second quarter. The Company recorded a total operating loss of €307.7 million in the second quarter (H1 2011: €-318.3 million), as a result of idle costs due to low capacity utilisation and the price drop for cells as well as modules. Adjusted by one-off effects and idle time costs the operating profit (EBIT) in the second quarter amounted to €-24,4 million. After interest and taxes, the loss for the second quarter of 2011 amounted to €354.8 million (H1 2011: €-395.8 million).

“In the first half of the year, the difficult situation in the European market hit us particularly hard. I expect competition to remain tough in the coming year with no significant changes to demand, but we will be in a much better position to deal with it,” said Nedim Cen, CEO of Q-Cells SE. “I am convinced that the strategy of further developing Q-cells into a photovoltaic solutions provider is the right way to go.”

Package of measures to be implemented
In response to the difficult market situation and negative results in the first half of the year, the board of directors today decided on a package of measures for the further strengthening of the Company’s competitiveness. This program is subject to approval by the supervisory board. At the end of last year, Q-Cells completed a comprehensive restructuring programme, during which the Company focused on its core business, generated significant savings and expanded its module portfolio. After production was cut back in the second quarter of 2011, the now planned package of measures resharpens.

The planned measures aim to significantly reduce the production costs of solar cells and modules. To achieve this, Q-Cells is focusing production on high-performance systems, particularly at the Company’s Malaysian site, which will run at full capacity in the second half of the year. Production capacities for solar cells at the Company headquarters in Bitterfeld-Wolfen will be permanently reduced to 50 %. The module production line for crystalline Q.PEAK high-performance modules is currently being ramped up in Bitterfeld-Wolfen. With immediate effect, Q.SMART thin-film modules with CIGS technology are being produced at full capacity again on the blueprint production line at the subsidiary Solibro. The Company is aiming for total production capacities between 1.0 to 1.2 gigawatt in 2012.

Research and development is being expanded to include the full spectrum from solar cells to solar systems and applications to become even quicker at developing marketable products with competitive system costs. System solutions such as flat roofs, car ports and system kits are to be used in particular in the business segments Residential and Commercial & Industrial, which Q-Cells aims to expand significantly. Sales activities will also focus even more strongly on customer groups and international target markets and sales structures will be simplified.
The overall objective of the package of measures is to reduce complexity. In addition, Q-Cells is constantly working on reducing costs for production as well as for the procurement of raw materials and solar wafers. In Administration, 25 % to 30 % of costs are to be saved by pooling tasks and streamlining the organisational structure and processes. The Company aims to avoid enforced redundancies when streamlining the organisational structure and adjusting production. Temporary workers are no longer being employed since adjusting production in April. Around 90 employees are currently changing over to the new solar module production that was started up in July.
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Market recovers – and inventories are full

The success in recent weeks confirms that Q-Cells is on the right way with its strategic focus – and that the solar market will recover again. However, product prices are still under a lot of pressure as inventories are still full. While the market almost came to a complete standstill in the first quarter, demand started increasing again at the end of the second quarter. This is reflected in the steep sales revenues growth in the second quarter compared to the previous quarter. In the systems business, the sale of the German solar park Finsterwalde II & III was successfully concluded, and the first two sections of solar park Zerbst were also completed. In the third quarter, Q-Cells received an order for the construction of the following three sections of this project with a volume totalling 26 MWp.

In Ontario, Canada, Q-Cells received another order for a 10 MWp solar project by Starwood Energy Group Global and will therefore realise a total volume of 60 MWp in this region. Q-Cells is presently expanding its Malaysian production site into a new regional sales hub so as to position itself in the future markets of Asia/Pacific. In addition, Q-Cells received its first large order for 20 MWp of Q.SMART thin-film solar modules in the third quarter. Q-Cells currently has order backlog in excess of €200 million.

The company has also entered into a sponsoring partnership with BVB Dortmund to strengthen the Q-Cells brand as well as sales. According to the motto “SolarChampions”, the German soccer champion and participant in the Champions League chose Q-Cells from 20 companies to advertise for sustainable solar power. A solar system of the roof and facade of the stadium forms an integral part of this agreement, giving Q-Cells the opportunity to prove its competence in the field of commercial rooftop systems – to a selected audience of experts. Together with the partnership programme PRO.MAP, this measure is aimed at enhancing sales.

“We offer our customers an attractive portfolio of reliable high-quality and high-performance products. Our new solar application for flat roofs shows that we can save significant system costs with our clever solutions,” commented Nedim Cen. “We will continue to pursue this path with our customers and partners, which trust in our technological competence and our know how when it comes to finding solutions.”

Outlook

According to medium-term market forecasts, competition in the global photovoltaic industry will be intense in 2011 and 2012 due to high surplus production capacities. Solar power will only become increasingly competitive – even without government subsidies – and tap new markets at a later date. Q-Cells is using the current measures to prepare itself in terms of strategy for this scenario.

Q-Cells SE expects sales revenues of around €1 billion and an operating loss in the three-digit million euro range for the full year 2011, as it will incur more one-off effects for the planned package of measures in the second half of 2011. At the end of 2011, Q-Cells plans to have cash and cash equivalents of between €300 million and €350 million among others on the basis of a reduction in working capital.

By implementing the current package of measures, continuously improving its cost positions and further developing the strategic segments Residential and Commercial & Industrial, Q-Cells aims to generate positive operating income (EBIT) again in 2012.

“We are convinced that the medium-term prospects of the solar industry are positive. Together with our customers and partners, we wish to be part of this development,” said Nedim Cen.
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dan focussen we ons dus maar op de positieve punten. :)

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At the end of 2011, Q-Cells plans to have cash and cash equivalents of between EUR300 million and EUR350 million among others on the basis of a reduction in working capital.

By implementing the current package of measures, continuously improving its cost positions and further developing the strategic segments Residential and Commercial & Industrial, Q-Cells aims to generate positive operating income (EBIT) again in 2012.

'We are convinced that the medium-term prospects of the solar industry are positive. Together with our customers and partners, we wish to be part of this development,' said Nedim Cen.
!@#$!@!
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Heb genoeg aandelen gehad van bedrijven met mooie praatjes om te zien dat dit gewoon mooie taal is voor we gaan het niet redden zonder nieuwe financiering. Gezien het huidige klimaat lijkt me dat bijna onmogelijk, of blijft er voor de huidige aandeelhouders weinig over.
Ben wel benieuwd naar de koersreactie morgen :-)
Wel knap dat ze nog steeds 300 mln in cash willen hebben eind van het jaar, immers dan hebben ze maar 100 mln geburned dit jaar. Als dat truukje echt werkt dan hebben ze weer een half jaar extra kunnen rekken.
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de beurswaarde is nog 120M.
niet veel voor een omzet van 1 miljard.

al heb je aan verliesgevende omzet natuurlijk niet zo veel.
!@#$!@!
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Dus als ze nu er gewoon mee kappen en die 300 mln cash uitbetalen, maak je een leuke winst als je vandaag had gekocht ;-)
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!@#$!@! schreef op 10 augustus 2011 22:11:

Dus als ze nu er gewoon mee kappen en die 300 mln cash uitbetalen, maak je een leuke winst als je vandaag had gekocht ;-)
Dat zullen de schuldeisers niet goed vinden: de korte + lange schulden zijn een veelvoud van de cash.
In jan 20112 moet de eerste grote lening afgelost worden.
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dat duurt nog zo lang, daar hebben wij geen boodschap aan.
betwijfel of de aarde dan nog bestaat.
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ik ben Diede. schreef op 10 augustus 2011 22:41:

dat duurt nog zo lang, daar hebben wij geen boodschap aan.
betwijfel of de aarde dan nog bestaat.
Denk dat Q-Cells tot het laatste moment gaat wachten met het nemen van actie....??

Meest voor de hand liggend is een voorstel binnen enkele maanden over een verlaging van de conversieprijs tot ergens tussen de 25 en 50 cent.
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TikkieSnugger schreef op 10 augustus 2011 22:44:

dit kan alleen maar naar 0
mogelijk een "gertronics" scenario in de maak,ooit opgepikt voor 0.18 cent.....

we blijven ea scherp in de gaten houden.
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Ik gaf op IEX twee jaar terug al aan dat ik Q-C(S)ells, Conergy en Solon (toen nog alle drie in Tecdax) als kansloze ondernemingen zag die imo als eerste in hun sector op een faillissement afstevenen.
Toen vonden velen het aandeel toch interessant (want 'zo sterk gedaald').
Maar sinds begin vorig jaar is er nog een 93% van de koers afgegaan!
Nu vinden nog steeds velen het bedrijf een gok waard want zo 'goedkoop'...
Ik zeg.. wegblijven van rommel.
Bijlage:
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jj77 schreef op 11 augustus 2011 08:33:

[...]
,ooit opgepikt voor 0.18 cent.....
Das knap:) .. ik herinner me dat ze ooit even 18 cent deden.
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atitlan schreef op 11 augustus 2011 10:39:

[...] Das knap:) .. ik herinner me dat ze ooit even 18 cent deden.
volgens mij hebben ze 50% lager gestaan.
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atitlan schreef op 11 augustus 2011 10:31:

Ik gaf op IEX twee jaar terug al aan dat ik Q-C(S)ells, Conergy en Solon (toen nog alle drie in Tecdax) als kansloze ondernemingen zag die imo als eerste in hun sector op een faillissement afstevenen.
Toen vonden velen het aandeel toch interessant (want 'zo sterk gedaald').
Maar sinds begin vorig jaar is er nog een 93% van de koers afgegaan!
Nu vinden nog steeds velen het bedrijf een gok waard want zo 'goedkoop'...
Ik zeg.. wegblijven van rommel.
Tis maar welke benadering je hebt bij het aandeel.

Wil je profiteren van de bewegingen dan zijn Conergy en Qcells best wel geschikt.

Zeker nu beide pennystock zijn kosten ze erg weinig en is een koersstijging zo geboekt.
Conergy van 53 naar 64 is toch 20%.
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atitlan schreef op 11 augustus 2011 10:39:

[...] Das knap:) .. ik herinner me dat ze ooit even 18 cent deden.
nah knap,toen ik ze gekocht had tikte ze nog vrolijk ff naar de 10ct,dat was zweten,duurde toen een weekje of 2 eer het weer boven water kwam.
weer 2 weken daarna spoten ze naar 70 centjes,daarna werd het nog beter.

de huidige situatie bij q cells begint er verrekte veel op te lijken.
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Klopt Diede, maar per saldo komt er een flinke factor geluk bij kijken om met zulke aandelen een succesvolle Zock te kunnen maken.
De koersgrafieken van de Duitse solars tonen voldoende aan hoeveel kapitaal aandeelhouders hier alleen maar verloren hebben.
Imo kun je sowieso veel beter traden met bedrijven die het operationeel voor de wind gaat, die veel omzet- en winstgroei maken, die daarbij ook hun marges kunnen verbeteren enz. en daarom terecht in een opwaartse koerstrend zitten.
Daar loop je ook niet het risico op totaalverlies.
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