Coking coal continues decline on China supply: Severstal
Hard coking coal prices should continue to decline in 2017 in response to returning Chinese supply with the relaxation of its 276 days policy, according to Severstal. Steel capacity cuts in China and pollution control initiatives are also seen having improved the outlook for the steel supply-demand balance.
In the fourth quarter of 2016 iron ore prices surged more than 20%. This was because of increasing demand, relatively high steel production and speculative futures trading, the Russian steelmaker says in a report seen by Kallanish. Steel prices in China were driven up 25% by high raw material prices. Russian HRC export prices replicated the dynamics of Chinese export prices.
Severstal increased finished product sales 4% on-quarter in Q4 to 2.08 million tonnes. This was driven by 6%, 29% and 15% rises in hot rolled coil, plate and cold rolled coil shipments respectively to 1.06mt, 189,772t and 281,572t. HRC sales were supported by strong domestic demand, while CRC sales were boosted by ramp-up at CherMK’s refurbished CR mill. Long product sales rose 2% to 355,553t, but galvanized coil sales slumped -21% to 122,532t.
Average sales price of HRC rose 7% on-quarter in Q4 to $423/tonne ex-works, while plate and CRC prices each rose 1% to $512/t and $518/t. Longs prices rose 11% to $391/t.
Q4 semis – including pig iron – shipments surged 38% on-quarter to 260,979t, helped by stronger demand in export markets and higher availability of production capacity.
Severstal expects to begin in 2020 extraction of the Severnaya coking coal mine’s resources, via the adjacent Komsomolskaya mine. Production at Severnaya was halted last February following fatal explosions. The mine will be sealed off.
Severstal’s iron ore pellet sales fell -4% on-quarter in Q4 to 1.55mt and coking coal concentrate shipments plunged -38% to 80,684t.
In full-year 2016 Severstal saw finished products sales fall -3% on-year to 8.08mt. HRC and longs sales rose 2% and 10% respectively to 4.08mt and 1.4mt, but CRC, plate and galv sales fell -28%, -3% and -10% respectively to 963,575t, 691,269t and 560,123t. Semis sales surged 48% to 724,155t. Iron ore pellet deliveries rose 3% to 5.98mt but coking coal concentrate sales fell -50% to 899,542t.
Source: Kallanish.com